Government shutdown blocks key GDP data release – what do the Fed's models say about economic growth?

The ongoing government shutdown has delayed the official third-quarter GDP report release, although real-time estimates from a pair of Federal Reserve banks suggest the economy grew.

AI could rase U.S. labor productivity 15%, meaningful boost to GDP starting 27’ – GS’ Briggs

Goldman Sachs senior global economist Joseph Briggs argued that current AI spending levels are sustainable, despite recent ...

This is the worst the jobs market has looked (outside of a recession) in 50 years, says Goldman Sachs, meaning bullish GDP estimates are too optimistic

Jan Hatzius warns America’s job market slump could drag down growth, with front-loaded orders and AI disruption skewing GDP ...
San Francisco Fed

SF FedViews: September 4, 2025

Andrew Foerster, senior research advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic Research Department as of September 4, 2025 ...

How much could a government shutdown cost the economy and taxpayers?

Each week of the ongoing government shutdown could cost the economy $7 billion and reduce GDP growth by 0.1 percentage points ...
CNN

America’s job market flashes yet another warning sign about the economy

Friday’s jobs report generates more questions than answers about the US economy; however, one of the biggest blind spots in labor market data is how the immigration landscape is changing. “The Current ...