Russia’s central theory of the war may be starting to crack. For two years, Moscow’s strategy has been to absorb brutal losses, keep grinding forward and convince Ukraine and the West that time is on Russia’s side. But as of May 2026, the line has slipped below zero: Russia is no longer gaining ground on a net basis, it is losing it. That does not mean the war is over or that the Russian army is collapsing, but it does mean the map is no longer rewarding Russia’s attrition machine. What are you

Our responses to Russia’s prolongation of the war and its attacks on our cities and communities are entirely justified. This time, Ukrainian long-range sanctions reached the Moscow region, and we are clearly telling the Russians: their state must end its war. Ukrainian drone and missile manufacturers continue their work. I am grateful to the Security Service of Ukraine and all the Defense Forces of Ukraine for their precision. The distance from Ukraine’s state border is over 500 km. The concentr